powerfulpicks stock opinion:
I was stunned when I looked at Indage Vintners (BSE: 522059). This script was trading at 920+ in Nov 2007 and then had crashed to the levels of 24-25. It was then called CHAMPAGNE INDAGE; some of you will remember it, as it was a darling of the bourses at that time. Then came misfortune. Dad gave the management of the company to son. Son was ambitious but inexperienced. He took huge loans and bought 2 companies, 1 in UK and the other in Australia, one after the other. Tried to expand too fast like Suzlon. And then global meltdown happened. Markets crashed, the banks started hounding for loan repayment. Demand for its products went down. Share Price crashed by 96%. Huge layoffs happened in the overseas unit, but still the employees could not get salaries for many months. Our court gave order to liquidate the company and sell off its assets.
And then some miracle happened. Dad stepped back in and they decided to revive the company by infusing capital; miraculously, the banks too agreed to restructure the loans and accept delayed payments. Previously, they were not willing to do this.
Turnaround story..yes, but still may fail..the troubles are too deep.
But here is where value hunters like me like to take risk and make some money, since bottom side is limited. I remember when Satyam had fallen to Rupees 20 and trusting my advice, some of my friends (I was cash strapped at that time, so I missed it) had picked it up at Rs 20-21 and then sold off last year Dec at 120.
I did not miss Indage Vintners though. I picked it at 29.7, after I saw that market is taking notice of the turnaround attempt. I did not give a call on this earlier because I did not want to expose you to risk. But now I think the story is getting popular.
If you can take a small amount of risk, you can watch for dips and pick up around 33-34. Pick up small amounts, so that if it goes down to 27-28, you can average. This script can touch 45 in 2-3 months time, giving you a handsome profit. And if the turnaround story is successful, this can easily go up to 150 (remember that the script was at 900+ less than 2 years back). Once again, although bottom side is limited, the call is for risk takers only.
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